MGT 710A: Risk Management
Instructor: Prof. Fotios C.
Harmantzis
Firstname.Lastname at stevens dot edu
www.stevens.edu/perfectnet
www.stevens.edu/fina
Teaching Assistant: Praveen Tanguturi (vtangutu at stevens dot edu)
Course Description:
The course targets graduate and advanced undergraduate students
across all Schools (Management, Engineering, Sciences), who are interested in
enhancing their knowledge of the way risk can be measured, analyzed and managed.
The major theme of the course is the Option Pricing Theory and models.
Options theory is becoming very popular in investment banking (portfolio theory,
trading financial derivatives, M&A, equity valuation, etc.), consulting and
investments. Financial and non-financial (real) options will be
discussed. Theoretical and practical aspects will be covered, with
applications to different industrial sectors (telecommunications, IT,
pharmaceutical, etc.).
Learning Goals:
After taking this course students will be proficient
in:
- Continuous and Discreet time modeling
- Financial options theory
- Real options theory
- Portfolio theory
Required Text:
- Hull, John. Options, Futures and Other Derivatives ,
Sixth Edition, 2005. Prentice-Hall, Inc. ISBN 0-13-149908-4
Recommended Texts/Additional
Readings:
-
Trigeorgis. Real Options: Managerial
Flexibility and Strategy in Resource Allocation . The MIT Press. 1996,
ISBN: 026220102X
-
Damodaran, Aswath. Investment Valuation:
Tools and Techniques for Determining the Value of Any Asset. Second
Edition, 2002. John Wiley & Sons, ISBN 0-471-414883
-
Dixit and Pindyck. Investment under Uncertainty .
Princeton University Press. 1994, ISBN: 0691034109
-
Amram M. and Kulatilaka N. Real Options—Managing Strategic
Investment in an Uncertain World. Harvard Business School Press. 1999. ISBN
0-87584-845-1
Grading:
|
Homeworks (Total 4) |
15% |
|
Midterm Exam |
25% |
|
Project |
20% |
|
Final Exam |
40% |
Lectures:
- Introduction to Risk & Valuation
- Introduction to Risk and Financial Derivatives
- Risk and Return: CAPM Model, Modern Portfolio Theory
- Traditional Valuation Approaches
- Financial Options
- Binomial Trees
- Continuous-Time Modeling
- The Black-Scholes Model
- Numerical Techniques
- Real Options
- Real Options: The Option to Delay
- Real Options: The Option to Expand
- Real Options: The Option to Abandon
- Value at Risk
- The "Greeks"
- Value at Risk
- Estimating Volatilities and Correlations
Recommended Readings:
- Alleman, James. 2002. A new view of Telecommunications
Economics, Telecommunication Policy . 26, pp. 87-92.
- Alleman, James. 2003. How should telecom companies be valued?
America 's Network. 107(15), pp. 34-40.
- Alleman, James., Rappoport, Paul. 2002. Modeling Regulatory
Distortions with Real Options. The Engineering Economist . 47(4), pp.
390-417.
- Basili Marcello, Fontini Fulvio. 2003. The Option Value of
the UK 3G Telecom licenses, Info: the journal of Policy, Regulation and
Strategy for Telecommunications. 5(3), pp. 48-52.
- Benaroch, M. 2002. Managing Information Technology Investment
Risk: A Real Options Perspective. Journal of Management Information
Systems . 19(2), pp. 43-84.
- Benninga, S. and Tolkowsky, E.. 2002. Real options-an
introduction and an application to R&D valuation. The Engineering
Economist . 47(2), pp. 151-168.
- Bowman, E. H. and Moskowitz, G. T. 2000. Real Options
Analysis and Strategic Decision Making. Organization Science. 12(6),
pp. 772-777.
- Coopeland, T. E. and Keenan, P. T. 1998. Making real options
real. Mckinsey Quarterly 3 , pp. 128-141.
- Copeland, T. & Howe, K. M. 2002. Real options and
strategic decisions. Strategic Finance. 83(10), pp. 8-11.
- Copeland, T. E. & Keenan, P. T. 1998. How much is
flexibility worth?. McKinsey Quarterly. 2, pp. 38-49.
- Dixit, A. K. & Pindyck, R. S. 1995. The options approach
to capital investment. Harvard Business Review. 73(3), pp. 105-115.
- Edelmann, J., Kylaheiko, K., Laaksonen, P., & Sandstorm,
J. 2002. Facing the Future: Competitive Situation in Telecommunications in
Terms of Real Options. IAMOT2002 11 th International Conference of
Management of Technology .
- Herath Hemantha S. B. and Park Chan S. 1999. Economic
Analysis of R&D Projects: An options approach. The Engineering
Economist. 44(1), pp. 1-35.
- Herath Hemantha S. B. and Park Chan S. 2002. Multi-stage
capital investment opportunities as compound real options. The Engineering
Economist. 47(1), pp. 1-27.
- Luehrman, T. A. 1998a. Investment Opportunities as Real
Options: Getting Started on the Numbers. Harvard Business Review.
76(4), pp. 51-60.
- Luehrman, T. A. 1998b. Strategy as a Portfolio of Real
Options. Harvard Business Review . 76(5), pp. 89-99.
- Trigeorgis L. 1993. Real Options and Interactions with
Financial Flexibility. Financial Management. 22(3), pp. 202-224.
- Trigeorgis L. 2005. Making Use of Real Options Simple: An
Overview and Applications in Flexible/Modular Decision Making . The
Engineering Economist . 50(1) pp. 25-53.
Past Projects:
- Valuing the Option to Delay in Poker (S. Edwards), 2006
-
Is Yahoo! worth a BUY? (L. Zhang), 2006
- Implementation of
"Merton's Model, Credit Risk, and Volatility Skews" by J. Hull, I. Nelken and
A. White appears in J. of Credit Risk, Vol. 1, No. 1, pp. 1-27, (X. Lai). 2006
-
GARCH Modeling for the Dow Jones Transportation Index (DJT), (P. Tokadilok),
2006
- Modeling of Stock Returns using Monte-Carlo simulations of
Jump-Diffusion Processes: The SUNW Case (P. Huang), 2005
- Drawdown as a Measure of Financial Risk (L. Miao), 2005
- Comparing Traditional Voice Solutions with Hosted
Voice-Over-IP using Real Options (B. Athwal), 2005.
- Valuing Wireless Services Strategies for Corporate Clients
using Real Options (W. Ramirez), 2005
- Real Option Analysis of GPRS Network with Wi-Fi Integration
(P. Tanguturi), 2004
- Models for Credit Risk Assessment for Telco's (A.
Christides), 2004
Recommended Sites: